Dollinger down against Robach by 10 points - Updated (Dollinger Responds)
|
Candidate |
Race |
Favorable Rating |
Presidential Horse Race |
|||
|
Fav |
Unfav |
McCain |
Obama |
DK/NO |
||
| Joseph Robach (R) * |
49% |
57% |
24% |
33% |
59% |
8% |
| Richard Dollinger (D) |
38% |
36% |
25% |
|||
| Don’t know/no opinion |
13% |
|
|
|||
So, are we taking anything for granted in the heavily Democratic District? the Siena poll analysis follows. (MoE is 4.7%)
56th SD – Monroe County – Joseph Robach (R, incumbent) vs. Richard Dollinger (D)
Robach leads Dollinger 49-38 percent. While Robach holds 78 percent of Republicans and gets the support of one-third of Democrats, Dollinger has the support of 57 percent of Democrats and 11 percent of Republicans. Robach leads among independent voters 46-34 percent. Dollinger has a 10-point lead in the Rochester and Brighton portions of the district, however, Robach has a 64-26 percent lead in Greece and Parma.
Robach is viewed favorably by 57 percent of voters, including 49 percent of Democrats, and unfavorably by 24 percent of voters. One in five voters has no opinion. He is viewed most favorably in Greece and Parma (71-22 percent). Dollinger has a 36-25 percent favorable rating, with 40 percent having no opinion. He is strongest in Brighton (56-14 percent) and least favorable and most unknown in Rochester (28-25 percent)
Voters strongly, 56-31 percent, support Democratic control of the Senate. Interestingly, however, 34 percent of voters saying they support Robach, also indicate they support Democratic control of the Senate. Obama has a commanding 59-33 percent lead over McCain.
“Robach enters the final six weeks of the campaign in this heavily Democratic district in a strong position. He has a double-digit lead, he is popular and viewed as stronger on all the issues,” Greenberg said.
We have discussed this race before, been criticized both on line and off line and, yeah, I get it - everyone is a critic. Dollinger needs more local awareness, more media attention, more ads. I believe he is more than capable of closing the gap. I’m sure he is not taking anything for granted. His supporters shouldn’t either.
I’ll have more on this race later.
[Update: btp here. Dollinger's campaign responds to the poll with some good points:
Rochester, NY – Chris Gorman, campaign manager for Rick Dollinger for State Senate, released the following statement in response to the Siena College poll issued today:
“We always knew that this was going to be a close race. And, after spending hundreds of thousands of taxpayer dollars trying to hide from his anti-choice, pro-gun record Republican incumbent Joe Robach, who won his 2006 re-election bid with 70% of the vote has plummeted 21% to a point where less than 50% of the public wants to see him back in Albany. Monroe County voters have demonstrated that they are fed up with failed Republican economic policies and are ready for a change. The numbers in Monroe County clearly show that voters overwhelmingly support a shift in the State Senate to Democratic control and are ready to send someone to Albany who shares their beliefs and values.”
Robach's blurring strategy has worked so far. The question is, how can the Dollinger campaign unmask Robach as the right-wing conservative who's blocking progressive reform in Albany? I mean, 33% of Dems support him? Come on. And 40% is a lot of people not knowing Dollinger.]
Related posts:
Someone besides Joe Robach is running in this race?
I’ll be darned - all I ever see on TV are ads that are for Joe Robach and against Joe Robach. Nothing that actually tells me about this Dollinger fellow who’s apparently running. Who he, again?
a lot of what we have seen so far is thanks to Joe’s franking privileges as a Senator. that has to legally stop on Oct 4, so it should be a lot more balanced after then.
WOW, Robach must me TICKED! He is under 50%. Dollinger must be doing SOMETHING right. Under 50 is unheard of. All is not lost. There are still 41 days left. Even God took 40 days to flood and recreate the earth. He took 40 days in the desert fighting the devil. Surely, Dollinger can can take out the “god” of Greece and Parma.
Franking privileges don’t buy TV ads.
Where is the campaign telling me why I do want to vote for that Dollinger guy…not just why I don’t want to vote for my good buddy Joe, who’s working for Democrats, Republicans and Independents?
There is still time.
[...] Pride Agenda. btp has a great round up of race. Of course, a current Poll shows that Dollinger is 10 points down but it is an improvement over where it could be as we have always said there is plenty of time to [...]