Five NY House seats listed on Rothenberg Political Report
The Rothenberg Political Report just updated its listings to include five New York House seats, according to Robert Harding over at The Albany Project:
Here are those seats as rated by Rothenberg:
NY-13: REPUBLICAN FAVORED (Incumbent: Rep. Vito Fossella (R-Staten Island) Challengers: Steve Harrison (D-Bay Ridge) and Dominic Recchia.)
NY-20: DEMOCRAT FAVORED (Incumbent: Rep. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-Hudson) Challenger: Sandy Treadwell (R-Adirondacks).)
NY-25: LEANS DEMOCRATIC (OPEN SEAT due to the retirement of Rep. Jim Walsh (R-Onondaga). Dan Maffei is the Democratic challenger and a few Republicans are said to be contenders, including David Gay.)
NY-26: PURE TOSS UP (Rep. Tom Reynolds (R-Clarence) has retired. Three Democrats are in the running for their party’s nod: Jon Powers, Alice Kryzan and Jack Davis. David Bellavia is the lone declared Republican candidate.)
NY-29: TOSS UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (Incumbent Rep. Randy Kuhl (R-Hammondsport) will face off with Eric Massa in the 29th, a rematch of the 2006 battle that Kuhl narrowly won over Massa.)
I have to disagree with their opinion on NY-26 and NY-29. In NY-26, Jack Davis has run and lost—twice. Jon Powers has 6 out of 7 county endorsements and has raised more money than Kryzan. Bellavia, the only declared Republican at this point, has a one-issue platform. I think it’s leaning Democrat and that Democrat is Jon Powers.
In NY-29, I think Kuhl is a much weaker candidate this cycle and his recent statements about why he won’t do debates with Massa hint at that as well.
Your thoughts?
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Re NY-13, Vito paid $26,000 in January for a poll. He’s worried and is bringing in big gun Dick Cheney for a fundraiser this Monday at the home of David and Anne Koch of Koch Industries, well known environmental pollluters. Protests are planned starting at 10AM at 71st and Park where the Koch’s residence is located.
As for the 2 candidates, Harrison has the support of the clubs and the residents of CD-13. Recchia doesn’t even live in the district and the only reason he’s running is because he’s term limited from the City Council in 2009 and is job hunting. Nadler (won’t impeach) is supporting Recchia (Recchia actually lives in Nadler’s district) and have been wooing Pelosi. Recchia is also being supported by the Brooklyn Machine (Vito Lopez). Recchia’s money does not come from within the district but Harrison’s does, that’s why there’s such a difference in the amount of money they’ve gotten. Recchia is in the hands of developers like the Sitt family/Thor Equities and this is where his money comes from.