Rudy can fail

The always informative Pollster.com thinks that Giuliani could be the next McCain: that is, his support could evaporate as quickly as McCain’s has.  In fact, it may alread by be starting to:

Since early March, Giuliani’s support has fallen by an estimated 8 percentage points. McCain’s fell by 10 points since January. And the rate of decline has been a bit steeper for Giuliani than for McCain. The saving grace for Giuliani has been that he started his decline from a higher point, around 33%, while McCain’s slump started down from 25%.

Giuliani’s national slide is also mirrored in the early primary states, as is the case with McCain.

And check Giuliani’s trend line as compared with Fred Thompson’s:

Thompson is also trending up in Florida and South Carolina, while Giuliani slumps in those states. And his prospects against Romney in Iowa and New Hampshire are looking poor as well. So while the national trend may be stabilizing, the Giuliani campaign is confronted with serious challenges in at least four of the first five states.

Let’s check back in on this around Labor Day and see if the trend lines above have crossed. If they have, the second Republican “front runner” will have stumbled.

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12 Comments »

Comment by Rottenchester
2007-07-17 19:53:20

You been drinking booze for breakfast?
Rudy can’t fail.

Comment by The Ghost of H.S.T.
2007-07-17 19:56:58

Thanks for the skewed Clash reference.

 
 
2007-07-17 20:22:28

Glad to meet another pair of Clash fans. It’s always nice when someone picks up on one of my strange references.

Comment by army42
2007-07-17 20:28:12

Maybe that s/b his campaign theme???

 
 
 
2007-07-17 20:38:59

The line “I know that my life makes you nervous” perfectly describes his relationship with the religious right.

Great video…

I once thought of printing out bumper stickers that said “what would Joe Strummer do”, but I soon discovered several other people had already had the same idea.

Comment by The Ghost of H.S.T.
2007-07-17 20:41:32

What Would Jello Do?

2007-07-17 20:49:48

I’m not sure I’m ready to put the Dead Kennedies up there with the Clash.

Comment by bythepeople
2007-07-18 08:48:24

Since seeing Jello Biafra do his (first?) spoken word performance back in 1987/8, I’m a fan.

“Congratulations! You’re under martial law!”

(Comments wont nest below this level)
 
 
 
 
Comment by Jiminy Bizbo
2007-07-21 23:56:05

All he needs is a He Man to take him on

 
Comment by Jiminy Bizbo
2007-07-21 23:57:31

 
Comment by Jiminy Bizbo
2007-07-21 23:58:18
 
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