Polling notes from all over
More good numbers for Maffei and Massa from Constituent Dynamics.
Maffei 53%, Walsh 44%.
Massa 53%, Kuhl 42%
I think these are optimistic from a Democratic standpoint, but it does jibe with a lot of what Charlie Cook has been saying, e.g.
With the election just eight days away, there are no signs that this wave is abating. Barring a dramatic event, we are looking at the prospect of GOP losses in the House of at least 20 to 35 seats, possibly more, and at least four in the Senate, with five or six most likely.
Over at the Washington Post, Michael McDonald reports that only a fool believes all the boo-hoo baloney about Karl Rove’s unbeatable 72 Hour Get Out The Vote machine (okay, it’s not really that Michael McDonald):
Republicans supposedly have a super-sophisticated last-minute get-out-the-vote effort that identifies voters who’ll be pivotal in electing their candidates. Studies of a campaign’s personal contact with voters through phone calls, door-to-door solicitation and the like find that it does have some positive effect on turnout. But people vote for many reasons other than meeting a campaign worker, such as the issues, the closeness of the election and the candidates’ likeability. Further, these studies focus on get-out-the-vote drives in low-turnout elections, when contacts from other campaigns and outside groups are minimal.
Well said.
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